Self pol 

Place your bets: How many committed delegates will I get from viable Christa subcaucuses? There are about 3700 delegate seats.

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Self pol 

Feel free to put your guess (and justification?) in this thread if you want to compare notes.

Self pol 

I feel like 50-99 is plausible but might be optimistic.

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Self pol 

It appears as though I might get 4 or 5 delegates from my precinct.

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Self pol 

There are 134 precincts. If 50% of those each give me one delegate, that would give me about 70 delegates.

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Self pol 

@lawremipsum delegates are like paper clips, right

Self pol 

@lawremipsum I would be thrilled to be very off with my prediction for delegates.

Self pol 

@lawremipsum on the other hand if each of them gives you 4-5 you'll be getting 600+

Self pol 

@britvulcan lololol

I might get a couple precincts like that! Offset by 5 that give me none.

Self pol 

@lawremipsum @britvulcan Any idea how historically other BET candidates have done at getting delegates?

Self pol 

@densetsu @britvulcan I plan to ask, but I'd be surprised if the DFL keeps records like that—so it'd just be people's memories. Nobody remembers anyone campaigning for BET for over a decade. So I assume the answer is historically they get zero delegates.

Self pol 

@lawremipsum I'm going to go with about 300 based on wedge live patron

Self pol 

@lawremipsum also based on people putting off the decision matrix between K and S.

Self pol 

@britvulcan I'm hoping people catch on to this. It seems obvious to me but I spent most of the month not trying to press it.

Self pol 

@lawremipsum also also, this is about 10% of total delegates, which if evenly distributed (HIGHLY UNLIKELY) would still be about right? idk.

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